VoteHelp - List Vote Analyser
VoteHelp shows you how many Parliamentary seats you will get at different list-vote percentages.
It does this by using a D'Hondt calculator.
You can enter "play-about" figures and see what the outcomes are. And when opinion-poll data becomes available, you can enter those figures and get a predicted result.
Paste your data into the box, or modify the examples in the edit-boxes (the second box down contains play-data, the third box down contains the 2016 election data).
How split votes would have changed the 2016 results:
South Scotland, with Alba/SNP splits
Glasgow, with Alba/SNP splits
All regions, Alba at 6%
All regions, Alba at 10%
All regions, Alba at 15%
Results from the Panelbase poll-data of 14th April 2021:
Our seat-calculation from the Panelbase data is different from Panelbase's seat-calculation as quoted on Scot Goes Pop:
Our underlying assumptions are no doubt different from theirs:
- We calculate that SNP will get 61 seats and Alba 8.
- Panelbase calculates SNP 63 and Alba 5.
- We have to assume that the polled list-vote percentages are the same across all regions, since we have no other information.
- We assume that the parties standing on the list in each region are the same as in 2016 (but we've added AllForUnity to every region),
- With the SNP list-vote share down to 36%, the SNP is entitled to just under 6 seats in any region (constituency and list seats combined). In 2016, in all regions except one, it had 6 seats or more, which exceed its entitlement, so it'll get no list seats in those regions. The exceptional region is South Scotland, where our calculations give it 2 list seats.
Panelbase data from Scot Goes Pop, 14th April 2021:
2016 election data:
Format for entering play-data:
- Two .csv tables:
- Table showing all the regions in this dataset.
- Table showing all the parties and constituency seats within each region.
- For each of the two tables, you must include one header-line whose first word is 'Region'.
- Blank lines are allowed.
- In numbers, use no dots. The .csv format precludes the use of commas.
- Lines in each table must have exactly the number of fields shown.
- You can spell region names and party names how you like, but you must be consistent or they won't match.
- No duplicate lines.
- Everything is case-sensitive.
- Spaces are not allowed, and nor is double-hash ('##').
- For exploring different scenarios, we suggest you use a total of 10000 votes and 100 seats (constituency plus list).
- Results are returned in alphabetic order of Party within Region.